10/27/21 NHL Main Slate Analysis and Breakdown


High Priority

Marner (6200), Matthews (8500), Tavares (5400), Nylander (6600), Reilly (5400)

By the micro numbers alone, Toronto has been the unluckiest team offensively and it isn’t really close. They’re putting in the work and just getting zero bounces their way. You wanna know what is a great way to cure those ails? Getting a matchup against the dogshit organization of Chicago. They will likely put up a crooked number against the Blackhawks and we should take advantage with these lowered prices. I also love some of the cheaper guys like Ondrej Kase (2500) and Michael Bunting (3900).

McDavid (9000), Hyman (5100), Puljujarvi (5900), Draisaitl (8200), Nugent-Hopkins (5000), Barrie (4900)

Your lineups tonight should be heavily Canadian tonight, hammering the Toronto and Edmonton squads hard. The great part of tonight is that you can do that much more easily than you might think. Getting a currently overrated Philly squad might make some wander away from Edmonton but I think that’s totally a mistake. On a 5 game slate, if we get any reduction in the typical 35-40% ownership on McDavid, we have to take advantage. He’s scored over 20 DKP in four of his five games thus far. He should be 10k and he’s not. Draisaitl has also scored 20 DKP in four of his five games. He’s only 8200. What the fuck. I don’t need to say any less, just play Oilers.

GPP Pivots

Raymond (4600), Seider (4000)

Detroit has been an underrated team offensively to start the season. They’ve scored at least three goals in four of their six games thus far.If you want to spend up on the more expensive guys, go for it. They will not be owned for shit and if game theory swings in your favorite regarding Toronto and Edmonton, then you’re filthy rich. Washington has allowed 17 goals on the year in which 9 of those have been in the last two games. I think we should highly consider these cheaper guys getting important roles for the Wings.

Robertson (4700), Hintz (4100)

Dallas has been fairly stale to start the season on the offensive side of things. However, they get Jason Robertson back into the lineup, who was arguably their best player in the second half of last season. Going against, still, the worst team at even strength so far this season leads me to believe that this is an important spot to attack once we figure out the priority games. Robertson and Hintz were both well into the high 5s and low 6s last season at various points, so we get a great discount from their ceiling.

Goalies:

Chalk: Koskinen, Campbell

Pivots: Bobrovsky/Knight, Khudobin, Ullmark

NSFW: Lankinen

Why: Hart