10/28/21 NHL Main Slate Analysis and Breakdown


High Priority 

Kaprizov (7500), Fiala (6500), Spurgeon (5100)

There isn’t much I love on tonight’s slate so I have to pick some spots. Anytime I see the Kraken suiting up, I have to consider targeting them with their opponent. Fiala and Kaprizov have combined for 38 shots on goal and only have a single goal between the two. Shooting percentage wise, they are extremely due. The Wild are above average in both 5v5 quality and power play percentage so they’re laying down the blueprint for success, but their main scorers are snake bitten at the moment. I think this is a spot for them to crush and they shouldn’t be too popular with everything else on the slate.

Dahlen (4400), Couture (6400), Meier (6600), Burns (6400)

This San Jose top line is absolutely cooking and I don’t think they will be popular in a great matchup at home. Montreal has been dog water to start the year and I expect that to continue tonight. With the slate going to Colorado and Tampa tonight, we will get the still too cheap SJ1 at a value.

Cirelli (3500), Killorn (4200), Sergachev (4300), Perry (2600), Barre-Boulet (2500)

It should go without question that we should target any Yotes’ opponent in any given game. So while everyone will target Point, Stamkos, and Hedman in this game, I prefer going to some cheaper guys still getting important minutes. My favorite sub 4k play tonight is certainly Anthony Cirelli with his massive role. Everyone else after him is certainly fair but not as good as Cirelli. Stack these boys up if you like with some decent correlation as they should score plenty of goals.

Kyrou (5500), Buchnevich (5100), Bozak (2700)

The Avalanche has been less than respectful on the defensive end and a big part of that is the absences of Devon Toews, Samuel Girard, and Valeri Nichushkin: three of the best defensive players on their team. So with these guys still out, we should take advantage and I love the second line tonight. It’s pretty damn cheap as well for what should be a higher scoring game. You can use any of the STL top three lines though.

GPP Pivots

Aho (7000), Svechnikov (7300), Teravainen (6400), DeAngelo (4900)

Carolina has decided to load up the top line and I think they won’t be as popular as they should be. Boston has been solid defensively but still outside of the top ten. With the variability of hockey and everyone spending up to Colorado, Tampa Bay, and even Boston on the other end, we have to strongly consider some Canes. I can dig full stacking these guys but they might be better off as minis or one-offs depending on what you’re trying to do.

Yandle (3800), Couturier (6400), Giroux (7000)

The Flyers are off to a great start and they have certainly shown they have the ability to abuse bad defenses. The decent start of defensive play from Vancouver is slowly fading away and I think we should use the Flyers even with the price-ups. I prefer the top line but you can certainly use any of the top two power play units as the Canucks rank 7th to last in Penalty Kill Percentage.

Kopitar (7400), Arvidsson (5900)

Winnipeg is still a bad defense that people don’t realize. Morrissey is probably the most overrated defenseman in the league. Winnipeg is 3rd to last on Penalty Kill Percentage on the year so I love going to those on the top unit, specifically Kopitar and Arvidsson.

Chalk: Stolarz, Kuemper, Vasilevskiy

Pivots: Jones, Quick, Andersen, Hill

Risky: Prosvetov, Swayman, Halak