11/16/21 NHL Main Slate Analysis and Breakdown

High Priority

Buchnevich (4300), Kyrou (4800), O’Reilly (5500), Faulk (5000), Perunovich (2500)

There is a lot to love about St. Louis tonight. The biggest boon to their fantasy success is their opponent: the Arizona Coyotes. The Yotes have scored two or fewer goals in five of their six November games and have allowed at least three goals per game in that same amount of games in the period. They’re hapless and an easy target every time they suit up. Attacking with this ridiculously cheap first line and first unit makes the most sense but everyone on the Blues is GPP worthy. Don’t sleep on AHL call up Scott Perunovich either. He should man the 2nd pp unit with Krug out. He’s coming into this game with 20 points in 12 AHL games, which is very astounding for a defensiveman. That’s a beautiful thing at the minimum price. You should definitely have at least one Blue in any lineup you make.

Aho (7100), Svechnikov (7400), Teravainen (5400), DeAngelo (5000), Trocheck (4800), Jarvis (2700), Necas (3500), Bear (2800)

As I’ve told you for most of the year, Vegas is the worst team at allowing quality chances at even strength this season and, relatively, it still isn’t close. You can access this Hurricanes team pretty easily as well with all of these cheap guys getting important minutes. Obviously I love the top line and pp unit the most, but Jarvis, Necas, and Bear are all interesting punts that will have to step up for some of the recent injuries.

Pionk (4800)

A matchup against Edmonton is always a good thing to boost your confidence. The Jets are a good offensive team and, outside of Kyle Connor, we usually don’t know where it’s coming from. Both the first and second lines are clicking a good bit and if you want to take a guess on which one will get the job done tonight, go for it. There is one player that I think is fairly underpriced when you consider all factors. Neal Pionk’s micro numbers show us a defensiveman that’s approaching the upper end of the NHL. If Winnipeg wants to show off their offensive chops tonight, I would bet that Pionk will get in the middle of it, especially on the power play.

Klingberg (4700), Robertson (5100), Hintz (5900), Pavelski (5400)

Don’t look now, but Dallas has quietly started their offensive engines again with fourteen goals in their last four games. They also get to attack a Detroit team that’s on the 2nd half of a road back-to-back. This sounds like a recipe for a potential offensive onslaught. I prefer the first line and first power play unit here but anything on the power play and top six is viable here. 

GPP Pivots:

Barkov (7400), Ekblad (6800), Huberdeau (5300)

A very sneaky pay-up option tonight, the Panthers get to play the Islanders that are also on the 2nd half of a road back-to-back. After allowing four goals to the Bolts, the Isles now get the pleasure of playing a fresh, offensive juggernaut like the Panthers. The biggest thing to note is a too-cheap Jonathan Huberdeau is now playing with Barkov at 5v5 which means that they will be on the ice together on all 5v5 and 5v4 opportunities. Any forward in the top nine is also, at worst, a decent GPP play just because they’re so cheap.

Gaudreau (3200), Kaprizov (7100), Zuccarello (5800)

To say Minnesota has been hot lately in an understatement. They’re averaging over four goals a game over the past couple of weeks and they won’t be as popular as they should. The first line (surprise) is a fantastic option. I don’t mind a pivot down to Fiala and Eriksson-Ek either. They get a sputtering Sharks team that’s allowed at least four goals in three of their last five. This is a great spot for a hot team like the Wild to do some damage at lower ownership.


Chalk: Binnington, Jarry

Pivots: Talbot, Oettinger, Andersen, Hellebuyck, Markstrom