2021 CJ Cup Analysis and Breakdown

Course: The Summit

Par: 72

Yardage: 7431

Greenery: Bent

Past Winners: Kokrak (2020)

Course Comparisons: TPC Scottsdale (Waste Management)

Key Notes: SG: Approach, Opportunities Gained, Desert Golf, Easy Courses

We get our second and final stop for the Vegas swing at the newly designed Summit. It’s a wide open desert course with the only defense being golfer created. If you find yourself in the wastes, then you’re trying to save par here. With massive greens to attack, you’re not really going to need to access a short game outside of the putter. This is also a 78 player, no-cut event which means placement points get a boost here (unless one of the Korean tour guys wins it). This week, I’m just looking for decent ballstrikers and spike putting and playing some game theory across twenty lineups. Let’s go ahead and get started.

10k Favorite: Collin Morikawa

No surprise here. After taking some time off after the playoffs and Ryder Cup, Morikawa seems to be back to business as the best iron player in the world. He prefers bent greens by a mile and if he putts a little bit this week, the field could be in big trouble. I also love Thomas for the same reasons but should carry a bit more ownership than Morikawa. Regardless, I’m playing a bunch of both. I’m neutral on just about everyone else in this range minus Dustin. The price does not justify the recent form whatsoever and I’ll gladly pass on him once again.

9k Favorite: Viktor Hovland

The guy lost almost 9 strokes around the green last week and he still maintained a positive tee to green gain. The ballstriking is dialed in and at a place where he won’t certainly do that again, you know I’ll be right back on the Vik train. I also love Brooks in this range. He’s the best off the tee in this field over the past twenty-four rounds and has a win at Waste Management. The next tier of interest goes to both Cam Smith and Abraham Ancer. I like both at desert courses and they have shown they can get it cooking at birdie fests.

8k Favorite: Harry English

Fuck. Not this again. The one week I play him in like six months and he loses six strokes putting. With his plus T2G numbers and prominence on par five scoring, I’ll take another shot and hope we get way better results. Tyrrell Hatton and Shane Lowry are my other favorites in this range. Both have great fairway finding ability with en fuego irons any given week. If they don’t putt themselves out of contention, they can surely do big things from a cheap price point.

7k Favorite: No One

How fun. This is kind of an ugly range for me and would rather beef up top and drop to the sixes. Yeah, I don’t mind Harold Varner and Joaquin Niemann at all and would be my preferred choices. There are a few other names you can make the case for like Homa, Sergio, and Si Woo. I just don’t love these plays at all. Absolutely do not play a 20% Aaron Wise this week for the love of god.

6k Favorite: Keegan Bradley

There are a ton of super cheap plays with good easy course upside down here. Keegan being my absolute favorite. He’s great at staying out of trouble and can get super hot on approach, we just have to hope this isn’t a week he goes full Keegan and loses fifty eight strokes on the green. My other favorites down here would be Woodland, van Rooyen, Davis, and K.H. Lee. I also don’t mind taking a deep shop at Joohyung “Tom” Kim, the next best thing out of Korea.